J.P. Morgan Asset Management's timber investment arm acquired 250,000 acres in the Southern pine belt for more than $500 million, Wall Street's latest big woodlands purchase with an eye toward carbon markets.
The wealth manager said it would manage the commercial forests in Mississippi, Oklahoma and Arkansas for wood production and carbon capture on behalf of pension funds, foundations and other institutional investors.
The latter is usually accomplished with less logging. The timberland owners are paying for their trees to stand so that they can absorb carbon from the atmosphere as they grow, and companies want to make up for their emissions. Carbon offsets are instruments that are tradable because of deals like these.
The pricing of carbon has prompted investors to reconsider the value of timberlands and place long-term bets on forests that are based on more than just what the logs might fetch at a sawmill, along with mounting corporate pledges to operate without adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere.
In November, Oak Hill Advisors LP, a major player in credit markets, made one of the largest US timberland purchases in years, paying $1.8 billion for hardwood forests in 17 states with a plan to reduce logging and accumulate carbon.
In December, one of the country's largest timberland owners, Manulife Investment Management, said it was aiming to raise $500 million to buy properties where sequestering the carbon in standing trees will be prioritized over cutting them down to make wood products.
For large timberland purchases, carbon is an integral part of the valuation, just as timber is, said Anton Pil, head of alternatives for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, which manages $2.45 trillion and acquired Campbell in 2021. The management of these lands is a balance of wood harvesting and carbon capture. Loblolly pine, grown across the South to make lumber and pulp for paper and boxboard, is the dominant species on the acquired properties, with pockets of hardwood, said Angie Davis, Campbell's president.
Forest carbon deals tend to happen in regions such as New England and the Great Lakes, where mills have closed and log prices have declined. Campbell sought Southern timber because there are plenty of log buyers around and the trees there grow fast, which makes them more valuable whether they are sold as carbon stores or mills.
Pil said that it gives you maximum optionality.
There hasn't been enough carbon deals yet to affect the flow of logs to mills, forest-products executives say, even though the presence of carbon-counting buyers has begun to influence the market for timberlands, which topped $5 billion last year.
There is a better realization of some alternative values that are inherent in owning timberlands, said Devin Stockfish, CEO of Weyerhaeuser Co., to investors last week.
On Tuesday, PotlatchDeltic Corp. CEO Eric Cremers said that he expects timber deal making to dwindle in 2023 due to sellers holding out for higher prices in the end markets for their trees.
Sellers are choosing to wait until there are signs of a recovery in housing starts and lumber demand to bring properties to market, he said. We suspect sellers might be holding back as carbon potential is becoming a bigger and bigger deal.