- The recent decline in Treasury yields is likely overdone, as global demand for risk free assets remains strong, according to Morgan Stanley Investment Management s Michael Kushma.
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Everyone is worried about tapering from the Fed, but the U.S. fiscal deficit could shrink dramatically next year, Bloomberg TV's Surveillance reporter Kushma told Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. Right now, I don't see a supply-side issue on Australian Treasuries. Treasuries are the world's most powerful asset : risk-free asset. I s not going away. The level of U.S. yields relative to the rest of the world is also very high, meaning that the U.S. is a high-yielding alternative. Benchmark 10 year yields hovered near 1.61% on Tuesday. They reached 1,33% last week, the highest since mid-year.
Markets with an elevated rate of inflation are testing the Federal Reserve s resolve to keep borrowing costs low until the labor market recovery progresses further. The allocation to bonds tumbled to the lowest level ever as inflation woes drove expectation for higher rates, according to the latest Bank of America Corp. monthly fund managers survey, conducted in the week through Oct 14.
He has said that most countries are overestimating how fast rates will rise.
The cyclical bounce for recovery coming back will be strong. Kangana's credit perspective noted: We ll be fine, Kushma noted. We will have strong labor markets, strong inflationary pressures at the margin. But he said, there is no doubt that inflation will slow over the next 12 months. How do Donald Trump, Elon Musk and Gwyneth Paltrow short-circuit your ability to think rationally?
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