The SNP expected the debate on Scottish independence to be changed as it was assumed that Remain voters would move in favor of independence to preserve their EU citizenship. In 2016, 62 percent of Scots voted to remain in the EU.
But the figures tend to cross over and below the 50 percent mark over the last two years, as there has not been a significant rise in Scottish support for independence over the last two years. From September 1 to November 22, eight different polls found that support to remain in the UK was stronger in Scotland than support to leave. The most recent poll of over 1,000 Scottish nationals, conducted by IpsosMori between November 22 and 29 found that 52 percent of Scots would vote in favor of independence, 43 percent would not, and 4 percent were unsure.
The main reason why independence has not yet made the breakthrough expected by Remainers and Rejoiners across the country is because many of the people who regret leaving the EU regard the 300-year-old social, political and economic union as more important and more precious than a 50-year-old trade deal, according to a Labour MP and political commentator for the Telegraph Tom Harris. Parting from the UK would cause the economy of Scotland to get a boost, while rejoining the EU would give Scotland a little boost. Can't see the poll below?
The UK is Scotland's largest and most important trading partner, accounting for 61 percent of its exports and 67 percent of its imports about four times greater than its trade with the EU. Experts from the London School of Economics LSE predict that independence would increase trading costs with the rest of the UK by 15 to 30 percent. Hanwei Huang, a researcher at the LSE, said that independence would leave Scotland considerably poorer than staying in the United Kingdom. David Cameron red-faced after being caught in dig by Adam Boulton.
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Ms Sturgeon promised Scotland that she will secure another independence referendum by the end of 2023. It looks like her political career depends on it, as SNP ministers grow increasingly restless. According to Tom Harris, the biggest threat to her comes from her own party members, who are not prepared to wait for a whole generation before achieving their dream of separation from the UK. Would the SNP fall out of power if she did? Let us know your opinion in the comments section below.