Prime Minister Kishida's Leadership Tested in By-Elections
Prime Minister Fumio Kishida faced a major setback in April 2023, as his ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered defeats in three by-elections. The losses, particularly in the Shimane No. 1 district, a long-held LDP stronghold, raised questions about Kishida's leadership and his ability to stay in power.
The by-elections were seen as a test of public sentiment towards Kishida and his handling of the political fund scandal that had embroiled the LDP. The scandal, which involved unreported funds, led to the resignation of an LDP incumbent in the Nagasaki No. 3 district, prompting the by-election.
Kishida faced criticism for his handling of the scandal, both from the public and within the LDP. The public felt the party had not fully explained the scandal or taken sufficient responsibility. Meanwhile, some LDP members criticized Kishida's disciplinary measures against certain figures in the party.
The by-election results could further destabilize the LDP and heighten internal attacks against the prime minister. The opposition parties are expected to take a more confrontational stance on the issue of political fund reform, making it difficult for Kishida to navigate the situation.
Furthermore, Kishida's ability to be the "face" of the LDP in future elections is now in question. He will be seeking another term as LDP president in September, but the by-election losses have made LDP members more cautious about holding a general election before the party election.
With a weakened base and growing uneasiness within the LDP about his leadership, Kishida may face an uphill battle to secure re-election as party president. The upcoming Diet elections in 2025 will be crucial for both Kishida and the LDP, as they will determine the future of the party and the country's leadership.