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Wall Street strategist sees test of retail investors' staying power

21.09.2021

Bloomberg - The strategist who predicted that retail investors would flock to the U.S. stock market now argues that they are going to face a major test of their staying power from another pullback in equities

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Corrections of 10% to 20% are common in bull markets and one may well be underway, BTIG LLC CEO Eunice Van Neuberg wrote in an email after the S&P 500 index fell 1.7% on Monday.

The test has further to run in our view, he said, adding such a backdrop would be a contrast to the record breaking run enjoyed by retail investors since the pandemic lows of March last year.

Retail investors have been a pillar of the bull market, ranging from their ardor for call options to the meme-stock craze that ignited rallies in the likes of GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. The recent bullish pressure of the S&P 500 on the prospect of reduced stimulus and risks from China is the latest test of their resilience.

To the extent that the Fed is more hawkish or yields continue to rise, that could be a near-term challenge to public resoluteness, Emanuel said. We suspect they will buy the dip, but that remains to be seen. Strategists are divided on the outlook after the recent gyrations of markets. A Morgan Stanley team led by Michael Wilson said a plunge in U.S. stock is looking more possible than expected. But JPMorgan Chase Co. strategists including Marko Kolanovic have argued that Monday drop s was overdone.

The S&P 500 slipped again on Tuesday as dip-buying waned during the session.

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