The latest EMRS poll conducted in Tasmania revealed troubling results for the Labor Party, with their support plummeting to only 26 percent. This significant decline could jeopardize their ability to secure enough seats for a majority government. On the other hand, while the Liberal Party's support has also decreased by 10 points since the previous election, they are still in a better position than Labor. However, neither major party seems poised for a strong majority government following the upcoming election.
The decline in support for the Labor Party has been a trend over the past few months, possibly influenced by factors such as internal conflicts and the emergence of candidates from the Jacqui Lambie Network. With only 26 percent support, Labor may struggle to win enough seats for a majority government, potentially leading to the necessity of forming a minority government through alliances with other parties and independents.
Although the Liberal Party's support has remained relatively stable, they are also facing challenges in achieving a majority government. Despite polling at 39 percent, which brings them closer to forming a majority, they may still fall short by a few seats. The Tasmanian political landscape seems to be heading towards a scenario where minor parties and independents will play a significant role in the formation of the government.
With the prospect of a hung parliament looming, voters in Tasmania are turning towards independent candidates and minor parties. The increased number of seats in the lower house has made it easier for independents to secure a spot in parliament, leading to a potential diverse crossbench. The upcoming election on March 23 will likely bring about a shift in the political dynamics of Tasmania, with major parties facing challenges in securing a decisive victory.