UK Labour Market Faces Setback as Unemployment Rises, Prompting Potential Interest Rate Cuts

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UK Labour Market Faces Setback as Unemployment Rises, Prompting Potential Interest Rate Cuts

## UK Labour Market Faces Setback as Unemployment Rises

The UK's labour market is experiencing a worrying setback, with unemployment rates climbing and job growth potentially stalling. Recent data reveals a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2% between December and February, marking the highest level in six months.

This increase in unemployment coincides with a decline in the proportion of employed individuals and a slight uptick in the economically inactive segment. These developments have led economists to believe that the Bank of England may consider cutting interest rates in the coming months.

Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, commented, "With employment falling sharply and the unemployment rate climbing, we suspect wage growth will continue to ease in the coming months. That may allow the Bank to cut interest rates in June."

Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, echoed this sentiment, stating, "Easing pressure in the labour market keeps the Bank on track for a summer rate cut."

Despite a marginal decrease in average wage growth, excluding bonuses, from 6.1% to 6%, the figure remains significantly above initial forecasts. Wage growth holds particular significance for the Bank of England as it can influence inflationary trends, thereby influencing decisions on interest rates.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) identifies "tentative signs that the jobs market is beginning to cool," with the unemployment rate surpassing economists' projections.

The escalating unemployment figures highlight mounting concerns over the UK's economic trajectory, prompting calls for decisive action to revive job creation and bolster consumer confidence. As the Bank of England evaluates the unfolding situation, all eyes remain on forthcoming policy decisions amid the backdrop of a challenging labour market landscape.