The Eurasia Group, led by Bremmer, has made a prediction for the 2024 Indian Lok Sabha elections, suggesting that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to win around 305 seats, with a variance of plus/minus 10 seats. Bremmer cited similarities to their previous forecast five years ago, indicating relative consistency in the Indian political landscape.
In a conversation with ANI, Bremmer underscored how the Indian electoral process stands out globally for its stability and predictability, contrasting it with the uncertainties surrounding other major political events worldwide, such as the upcoming United States election. He noted India's economic transformation from a country that was historically more inward-focused into a burgeoning global leader. Bremmer's positive outlook extended to India's economic future, where he predicted growth acceleration, positioning India to become the fourth-largest economy by next year and potentially the third-largest by 2028.
During an interview with NDTV, Bremmer reiterated his confidence in Prime Minister Modi’s leadership, praising the country's free, fair, and transparent election processes. He expressed certainty in Modi's chances for a third term, attributing it to the Prime Minister's strong economic track record and steady reforms, which he deemed as factors contributing to stability. Bremmer's observations align with a broader perspective on India's political and economic growth, emphasizing the country's potential to assume a significant global role.